TBRW? Predictions 97 Second Half Improvement

TBRW? Predictions 97 -- Second Half Improvement

Other factors being equal, teams that perform better down the stretch frequently continue that success into the following season. This modifier is computed by taking the team’s winning percentage over the second eleven games of the conference regular season and subtracting the winning percentage over the first eleven games.

To be more precise: 1/2 = ((Pts in games 12-22) - (Pts in games 1-11)) / 22.

1/2 -- Second-Half Improvement
Team
Gm 1-11

Gm 12-22

Diff. in %

Cornell
5-3-3

9-1-1

+.273

Princeton
1-8-2

4-6-1

+.227

Clarkson
7-3-1

9-1-1

+.182

Dartmouth
3-8-0

3-6-2

+.091

Union
2-7-2

2-8-1

-.045

Vermont
9-1-1

8-1-2

-.045

Brown
3-5-3

2-6-3

-.091

Colgate
7-2-2

6-3-2

-.091

RPI
4-6-1

3-7-1

-.091

Harvard
5-5-1

4-7-0

-.136

Yale
3-8-0

1-9-1

-.136

St. Lawrence
9-1-1

6-3-2

-.227

Team	Gm 1-11	Gm 12-22	Diff. in %
Cornell	5-3-3	9-1-1	+.273
Princeton	1-8-2	4-6-1	+.227
Clarkson	7-3-1	9-1-1	+.182
Dartmouth	3-8-0	3-6-2	+.091
Union	2-7-2	2-8-1	-.045
Vermont	9-1-1	8-1-2	-.045
Brown	3-5-3	2-6-3	-.091
Colgate	7-2-2	6-3-2	-.091
RPI	4-6-1	3-7-1	-.091
Harvard	5-5-1	4-7-0	-.136
Yale	3-8-0	1-9-1	-.136
St. Lawrence	9-1-1	6-3-2	-.227