And now, the TBRW? prognostication system turns its attention to this year's ECAC.
Without further ado, let's put our cards on the table:
Pred 1 Clarkson 30 2 Brown 28 3 Colgate 27 Vermont 27 5 St. Lawrence 26 6 Cornell 25 7 Harvard 24 RPI 24 9 Princeton 23 10 Dartmouth 14 11 Union 12 12 Yale 4
The TBRW? predictions are based on each team's previous year's performance, modified by off-season roster changes.
Each team starts with its previous regular season standing RS.
The number of post-season upset wins or losses PS is then added.
Finally, added to this score is a function of the following modifiers:
5pct Conference winning percentage in 5 seasons previous to past season. 1/2 Second-half improvement, previous regular season. RetG Percentage of previous season's goals scored returning for current season. RetD Percentage of previous season's defenseman games played returning for current season. RetM Percentage of previous season's goaltender minutes played returning for current season.The coefficient multiplier for the sum of the modifiers helps balance the effects of roster changes and also generates Pred, the final score which signifies the number of points a team should finish with.